2024-12-14 01:17:26
CITIC Securities: In 2025, the performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, looking forward to 2025, the macro resilience will continue, and the superimposed GenAI technology will continue to be introduced. The performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue, which is reflected in online advertising, e-commerce, streaming media, local life, financial technology and other sectors. However, the Trump administration's tariff increase & industry regulatory policies, inflation data, AI technology progress, etc. are expected to be continuous disturbance variables and need to be closely watched. At the level of individual stocks, the first-line Internet giants will still be the basic allocation. At the same time, we suggest that investors appropriately increase the allocation of small and medium-sized stocks in the fields of advertising technology and financial technology to enhance portfolio flexibility.Monetary policy has turned to "moderate easing", and experts say that it is expected to make greater efforts to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 changed the orientation of monetary policy from "steady" to "moderate easing" next year. Experts said that under the orientation of "moderate easing", the monetary policy space was further opened. In terms of total amount, it is more reasonable and sufficient to maintain liquidity; In terms of price, appropriately reducing the financing cost will better reflect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Next year, even greater RRR cuts and interest rate cuts can be expected. In addition to lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates, experts said that structural monetary policy tools, buying government bonds, open market buyout reverse repurchase and other operations are expected to continue to expand the scale, increase the frequency of use, and continuously enhance the effectiveness and pertinence of monetary policy. (CSI)US Treasury Department: US Treasury Secretary Yellen expressed appreciation for the close communication between the Ministry of Economic Affairs of Korea and the United States after the recent events in South Korea.
Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.Haitong Securities: In 2025, the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price. Haitong Securities reported in its research report on December 10th that the effect of the trade-in policy is remarkable. With the active actions of the central and local governments, the trade-in policy of home appliances is expected to continue in 2025. We judge that the retail sales of home appliances terminals are expected to increase in volume and price in 2025, and the domestic sales revenue of leading enterprises is expected to achieve steady growth. The average sales price of home appliances will increase significantly under the impetus of trade-in, and the profit margin of home appliance enterprises can be expected to increase. Under the downward trend of interest rates, the dividend yield of household appliances leading enterprises is still attractive. It is recommended that white and black electricity leading enterprises which have obviously benefited from the trade-in policy and have global competitiveness.OpenAI released the ChatGPT built-in tool Canvas. On December 11th, OpenAI launched the fourth day of technical live broadcast and released the latest function Canvas. According to reports, Canvas is directly built into ChatGPT, providing a separate window, which is mainly used for programming and writing tasks, providing opinions, reviewing and executing specific functions, and providing more detailed services. Simply put, Canvas is equivalent to a built-in Agent to help and guide ChatGPT to make better content generation and modification, and it is automatically triggered.
Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.Eight people were killed when the Israeli army attacked a house in the central part of Gaza, and eight people were killed and many others were injured when the Israeli army bombed a house in Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of Gaza on the evening of 10th local time.Citic Jiantou: The demand for promoting the release of opinions on the pipeline network and water renovation in resilient cities is expected to increase. According to the research report of CITIC Jiantou, recently, the general offices of the General Office of the Central Committee of the CPC and the State Council issued the Opinions on Promoting the Construction of New Urban Infrastructure to Create a Resilient City, which clearly stated that it is necessary to build an intelligent and efficient new urban infrastructure system and continuously improve the resilience of urban facilities, management and space. Specifically, the Opinions propose that by 2027, the construction of new urban infrastructure will make significant progress, and the supporting role for the construction of resilient cities will be continuously enhanced, forming a number of experiences and practices that can be replicated and promoted. In addition, the Opinions also proposes the implementation of intelligent municipal infrastructure construction and transformation, and the digital transformation and upgrading and intelligent management of urban water supply, drainage, power supply, gas, heat, fire hydrants (fire cranes), underground utility tunnel and other municipal infrastructure according to local conditions. We believe that in the process of building a resilient city, the demand for urban infrastructure renewal and construction is expected to continue to grow, and related water and sanitation equipment enterprises are expected to benefit.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14